Monday 21 January 2008

GLOBAL WARMING (Advanced)

Since I saw one of the most voted videos in this blog in 2007 was that one about the 'Inconvenient Truth', I decided to include this one about climate change and global warming.
As always, try to get the answers to the following questions and click
here to correct them.

What distinction should we understand first?
What does the green line represent in the graph?
What happens at the end of the 20th century that shocks them?
What does the yellow line represent?

2 comments:

Dan Pangburn said...

Climate obviously has changed and will continue to change. The observation that ice is melting, which can look dramatic on TV, does not show that human activity is the cause. The assertion that humans are or ever can have a significant influence on climate by limiting the use of fossil fuel (a.k.a. limiting human production of carbon dioxide) is not supported by any historical record. The only implication that carbon dioxide level has a significant effect on climate comes from huge but still incomplete computer programs that attempt to predict future climate.

Avoid the group-think and de facto censorship by Climate Scientists. Directly interrogate official government data that taxpayers have paid for from ORNL and NOAA as follows:

If the carbon dioxide level from Lawdome, Antarctica http://cdiac.ornl.gov/ftp/trends/co2/lawdome.combined.dat is graphed on the same time scale as fossil fuel usage from http://cdiac.ornl.gov/trends/emis/tre_glob.htm it is discovered that the current carbon dioxide level increase started about 1750, a century before any significant fossil fuel use.

If average earth temperature since 1880 from http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/oa/climate/research/anomalies/anomalies.html is graphed on the same time scale as fossil fuel use it is discovered that there is no correlation between rising fossil fuel use and average global temperature at least until 1976.

The asserted hypothesis that, since 1976, increasing carbon dioxide level has caused the temperature to rise is refuted by the carbon dioxide level from http://cdiac.ornl.gov/trends/co2/vostok.html and earth temperature from http://cdiac.ornl.gov/ftp/trends/temp/vostok/vostok.1999.temp.dat determined from the Vostok, Antarctica ice cores. If these are graphed on a higher resolution time scale it is discovered that the change in atmospheric carbon dioxide level lags earth temperature change by hundreds of years.

If Lawdome and recent carbon dioxide data and Vostok and recent temperature are plotted on the same graph since 1000 AD (or before) it is observed that temperature oscillates up to plus or minus 1.5 degrees Celsius (half pitch about 100 yr) while carbon dioxide level remains essentially unchanged (between 9000BC and 1750AD). This will also show that the average global temperature 200 years ago was about the same as now, 400 years ago was significantly higher than now and current rate of temperature change is fairly typical. Recent measurements show that average earth temperatures in 2006 and 2007 were actually lower than in 1998.

For most of the history of earth carbon dioxide level has been several times higher than it is at the present as shown at http://www.geocraft.com/WVFossils/Reference_Docs/Geocarb_III-Berner.pdf .

The conclusion from all this is that carbon dioxide change does not cause significant climate change. Actions based on the human-caused global warming mistake put freedom and prosperity at risk.

arnadelo said...

I can't disprove your scientific arquments because I'm a mathematician, not an scientist, although I think I can understand most of them, and I'm not totally agree with you.
But at the end there's something that has surprised me a lot:

"Actions based on the human-caused global warming mistake put freedom and prosperity at risk"
What freedom and prosperity are you talking about?, perhaps yours and mine, but not everybody's freedom and prosperity. Wars based on the possesion of fosil energy, consumer societies that requires more and more materials to satisfy their freedom and prosperity, are examples that demonstrate that "actions based on the human-caused global warming" are necessary.
The video in this article explains all these things deeply.
http://utopiapractica.blogsome.com/2007/05/22/la-encrucijada-energetica-ii/


href="http://utopiapractica.blogsome.com/2007/05/22/la-encrucijada-energetica-ii/">http://utopiapractica.blogsome.com/2007/05/22/la-encrucijada-energetica-ii/


Although the article is in spanish, the video is in English.